Friday, October 30, 2009

Picks - Week 9


Our updated standings (last week, overall):

Chuck Visor: 4-4, 32-21

Drake McHugh, Esq.: 5-3, 28-25

Max Power: 5-3, 27-17

Brocktoon: 3-5, 26-27

Carter Slade: 6-2, 23-19

Woody Widenhoefer: 1-6, 22-18

Full Monte Kiffin: 5-3, 21-22

Dick C'est Bon: 0-0, 14-12

Arnold Porkzenegger: 0-0, 3-4

Herschel Talker: 0-0, 0-1

Tubby-bowl ‘09:
Ole Miss (-4.5) at Auburn, 11:21 AM, SEC Network:
In this match-up of Tommy Tuberville’s two former teams, I agree with Max. It’ll be a “Navy Nightmare,” but for the team in Burnt Orange and Navy Blue, not the team in Harvard Crimson and Yale Navy. In fact, the description of the game as a nightmare is appropriate since, given the performance against Arkansas with the 11:21 start, it is unlikely Auburn will be awake. This year’s coach drama is a bit different. Instead of Rebs angry at Tommy “Pine Box” Tuberville for leaving them, Ole Miss’ Nutt is mad at Auburn’s Malzahn for creating division in the program at Arkansas, and Malzahn is mad for being fired by Nutt. Last week I said Auburn would have a chance against LSU if Todd played well. I said there was no reason for Todd to play well against LSU’s defense. Just replay that comment this week, as Ole Miss’ front 7 is as good as it gets. Ole Miss wins and covers.

The Game Formerly Known as the World’s Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party:
Florida (-14.5) vs. Georgia, 2:30 PM, CBS:
If you ask me, it’s tough to call anything that starts at 3:30 local time a cocktail party, but here it is. Call me crazy, but I think the Dawg’s have a chance to win this one. I certainly don’t like a UF team that struggled against Arkansas and Mississippi State as a two-touchdown plus favorite. I’ll Hunker down with the points.

Must be Homecoming:
Eastern Michigan (+36.5) at Arkansas, 6:00 PM, ESPNU:
Can’t remember which of the Michigan directional schools is good and which is bad? The Western Michigan Broncos are OK, 4-4, 3-2 in the MAC. The Central Michigan Chippewas are good. They’re 7-1 with their only loss to Arizona. They beat Michigan State and are undefeated in the MAC and lead their division. The team that the Hogs will play, the Eastern Michigan Eagles, is bad. As in, 0-7 with losses to Army, Temple, Kent State and Ball State bad. This is a big line, but I’ll take the Hogs to cover.

Questionable Rivalry Game I:
Mississippi State (+3.5) at Kentucky, 6:00 PM, FSS:
Since the league split into divisions in 1992, and started the one-permanent cross-division rival schedule in 2003, MSU and UK have played every year. I suppose there’s some deep tradition of rivalry between these teams of which I am unaware (checking Wikipedia, nope). These teams have only played 36 times, with UK holding a slight edge 20-16. Anyway, this is a flip-a-coin game. I’ll take MSU only because it comes with 3.5 extra points.

ESSS EEE SEEEEE RULEZ!!11!:Georgia Tech (-11.5) at Vanderbilt, 6:30 PM:
As an SEC homer, normally I’d have to take the SEC team over any SEC opponent. However, this is Vandy and Ga Tech. The Jackets already beat MSU, who beat Vandy, (also Ga Tech beat Va Tech, who lost to Bama, whow beat Ole Miss who beat Vandy) so by transitive property Ga Tech is clearly the better team. I know Vandy beat BC in a bowl last year, but they also lost to Wake Forest and Duke last year. BEEEEEESSSSSSS RULE !!!11!!

Mouths of the South:
South Carolina (+6) at Tennessee, 6:45 PM, ESPN:
I thought this game would have lost some luster with the departure of Phil Fulmer. After all, it was kind of fun to see Spurrier scrap and sometimes barely beat the Coach and team he had tormented and dominated when he was at UF. Well, in comes Kiffin and whoa, Nelly, has this guy got a mouth that can match the OBC’s. Locker-room bulletin board fodder this week: Kiffin allegedly told SC’s leading wide receiver Alshon Jeffrey that if he went to SC he’d end up pumping gas for a living. Both QBs are spotty, so whether Garcia or Crompton has the better game will determine who wins. If I were picking this straight up I’d likely take Tennessee since the game’s on Rocky Top, and unfortunately, it looks like Jeffrey has the flu. But I believe SC’s D is for real, so I’ll take them plus the points.

Questionable Rivalry Game II:
Tulane (+36) at LSU, 7:00 PM:

This game is the inverse of UK-MSU. While the Cats and Dogs are two evenly-matched mid-league powers on the rise but with no history as rivals, The Tigers and Green Wave have a history dating back to the Southern League, but they are no where near evenly matched today. These squads have played some 97 times since 1893, but the most recent Tulane victory was 1982. But any rivalry that includes a riot (1938) is not a rivalry to be taken lightly. My only hesitation in picking LSU is the size of the line and the fact that I don’t expect LSU to go all out or leave the starters in too long with a West-division championship game coming up next week in Tuscaloosa. I’ll take the Wave plus the points.

5 comments:

  1. Ole Miss (-4.5) at Auburn, 11:21 AM, SEC Network: Rebels win and cover, but it is close.

    The Game Formerly Known as the World’s Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party: Tough call, but I think UGA keeps it close. Gators win by 3.

    Must be Homecoming:
    Eastern Michigan (+36.5) at Arkansas, 6:00 PM, ESPNU: HUGE line on this one. The Hogs win big, but not by 36.5...

    Questionable Rivalry Game I:
    Mississippi State (+3.5) at Kentucky, 6:00 PM, FSS: C-A-T-S, CATS, CATS, CATS! UK wins.

    ESSS EEE SEEEEE RULEZ!!11!:Georgia Tech (-11.5) at Vanderbilt, 6:30 PM: Paul Johnson and the Jackets win and cover.

    Mouths of the South:
    South Carolina (+6) at Tennessee:
    I think USC wins this one in a squaker, but only because I want to believe that a) SC is better than most people think and b) UT is worse than most people think.

    Questionable Rivalry Game II:
    Tulane (+36) at LSU, 7:00 PM: Again, another HUGE line. Tigahs win comfortably, but not by 36.

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  2. My picks:

    Ole Miss (-4.5): Does Auburn have a chance? No, says this Auburn fan.

    Georgia (+14.5): Florida of late is not the Florida of old, plus I get two touchdowns free.

    Arkansas (-36.5): Arkansas probably has in the 40s by halftime. EMU has 7 losses and 0 wins.

    Kentucky (-3.5): Kentucky has played well lately, and MSU is MSU. Nuff said.

    Georgia Tech (-11.5): They're no S. Carolina, so I think Ga. Tech runs up and down over Vanderbilt.

    S. Carolina (+6): 6 free points, huh? Yes, Tennessee has played better lately, but not that well.

    LSU (-36): Tulane has two wins, against McNeese State (by only 10) and Army (by only 1). LSU is LSU.

    ReplyDelete
  3. Tubby-bowl ‘09:
    Ole Miss (-4.5) at Auburn, 11:21 AM, SEC Network:Ole Miss wins and covers


    The Game Formerly Known as the World’s Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party:
    Florida (-14.5) vs. Georgia, 2:30 PM, CBS:
    The jorts win and cover


    Eastern Michigan (+36.5) at Arkansas, 6:00 PM, ESPNU:Hogs win but don't cover


    Questionable Rivalry Game I:
    Mississippi State (+3.5) at Kentucky, 6:00 PM, FSS:Kentucky wins and covers


    ESSS EEE SEEEEE RULEZ!!11!:Georgia Tech (-11.5) at Vanderbilt, 6:30 PM: Yellow Jackets win and cover


    Mouths of the South:
    South Carolina (+6) at Tennessee, 6:45 PM, ESPN:
    Vols win and cover. Coach Kiffin gets suspended for calling the gamecocks gas pumpers

    Questionable Rivalry Game II:
    Tulane (+36) at LSU, 7:00 PM:LSU wins but doesnt cover

    ReplyDelete
  4. Tubby-bowl ‘09:
    Ole Miss (-4.5) at Auburn, 11:21 AM, SEC Network:This one is tough and I am in California right now, so my reasoning (on all of these picks) will be sparse. Auburn with the points.


    The Game Formerly Known as the World’s Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party:
    Florida (-14.5) vs. Georgia, 2:30 PM, CBS:
    Georgia really pisses me off always beating the Gamecocks close and then becoming average some years (like this one). I have to think it is closer than 15, so here's a pick for those Bulldogs.


    Eastern Michigan (+36.5) at Arkansas, 6:00 PM, ESPNU:Is eastern Michigan really worse against ARKy than Tulane is worse than LSU? I don't think so. Eastern Michigan with the points.


    Questionable Rivalry Game I:
    Mississippi State (+3.5) at Kentucky, 6:00 PM, FSS:I gotta take MSU here.


    ESSS EEE SEEEEE RULEZ!!11!:Georgia Tech (-11.5) at Vanderbilt, 6:30 PM: GT wins this one comfortably


    Mouths of the South:
    South Carolina (+6) at Tennessee, 6:45 PM, ESPN:
    Steve vs. Lois Lane. South Carolina of course.

    Questionable Rivalry Game II:
    Tulane (+36) at LSU, 7:00 PM:LSU (this is not 1998)

    ReplyDelete
  5. Just when I think Tennessee couldn't have done anything else to make me hate them even more...they come out in black jerseys...man, I hate them. Georgia actually has the ability to "black out" since its one of their primary colors, but how does Tenn justify this? Kiffin probably said, "hey let's wear black jerseys, no one's ever thought of that"...jackass

    ReplyDelete