Friday, September 25, 2009

Picks - Week 4



For those of you keeping score at home, our records from last week:

Max Power 7-3
Chuck Visor 6-4
Drake McHugh: 5-5
Dick C'est Bon 4-5
(didn't pick UAB-Troy)
Brocktoon 4-6


Brocktoon's performance led him to make a Tebow-esque promise to outpick everyone else the rest of the year. We will see.

Leave your fearless predictions (against the spread) in the comments section. Here are mine, based largely on the transitive property of football:

Brocktoon's cousins visit the in-laws: Tennessee (-23.5) vs. Ohio: Who the heck knows? Hardesty and Brown will run the ball lots and Ohio won't be able to stop them. So long as Crompton's arm is used for handing off and not for throwing, UT covers.

West Div. Showdown: LSU (-12.5) at Miss. State: LSU's lackluster performance against Washington in Seattle doesn't look so bad after the Huskies toppled the USCw Trojans. The Bulldogs laid an egg against Auburn, but dominated a favored Vandy team in Nashville. The same Vandy team that played LSU close everywhere but the scoreboard. I think LSU wins, but doesn't cover the spread.

East Div. Showdown: Florida (-21.5) at Kentucky: Tennessee showed that a good defense can slow down, but not stop, the Tim Tebow Show. Kentucky doesn't have a great defense, but they have lots of returning starters, and the Gators have some players injured and suffering the flu. Part of me thinks Florida comes out guns blazin' after UT's "moral victory," but the other part thinks the Gators will play flat in a classic let down game. It's in Commonwealth stadium, so I'll give UK the benefit of the doubt to cover the spread.

Nerd Bowl: Vandy (-7) at Rice: UAB beat Rice, bad. The same UAB that lost to SMU and Troy. Vandy covers. If this were a Quiz bowl game, the score would be higher.

Cupcake of the week: Auburn (-33) vs. Ball State: The fightin' Dave Lettermans look awful this year without Brady Hoke. They lost to the same N. Texas team that Bama throttled last week. Auburn will want to build a big lead early to rest some starters and build some sorely needed depth in anticipation of next week's showdown in Knoxville. You get what you pay for. And AU paid $800k for this one. They cover.

Uncle Verne's Game of the Week: Arkansas (+17.5) at Bama: Bama has a strong offense and defense. Arky only has one of these. Bama will win, but Mallet's arm keeps the score closer than the spread. Pick: Hogs plus the points.

OOC Game of the Week: Georgia (-12) vs. Arizona State: The (Sun) Devils go down to Georgia, they are lookin' for a win to steal. It may be a sin, but I'll take the Dawgs, minus the points 'cause I think they're better 'n you.

Bonus pick 1: ACC = Always Consistently inConsistent: UNC (+2.5) at Georgia Tech: The name of the game in the ACC is inconsistency. Just when a team starts to look good, you can count on them to crap the bed. The Jackets looked terrible in a loss to Miami last Thursday, and the Tarheels looked good beating East Carolina by double digits last Saturday. Law of averages in a conference full of average teams: Tech covers.

Bonus pick 2: AIRRAID!: Texas Tech at Houston (no favorite): Don't bet the line, take the over. Tech played the Longhorns tighter than expected but Houston beat OK State who beat UGA. Cap'n Leach finds a way to get his team the final score and W.

9 comments:

  1. Brocktoon's cousins visit the in-laws: Tennessee (-23.5) vs. Ohio: Ohio barely beat North Texas in OT... UT wins and covers

    West Div. Showdown: LSU (-12.5) at Miss. State: LSU wins and covers


    East Div. Showdown: Florida (-21.5) at Kentucky: Florida wins and covers


    Nerd Bowl: Vandy (-7) at Rice: Rice pulls and upset as Fanuzzi comes alive.


    Cupcake of the week: Auburn (-33) vs. Ball State: AU uses this to tune their offense and experiment, AU wins, but Ball State beats the spread.


    Uncle Verne's Game of the Week: Arkansas (+17.5) at Bama: Not too comfortable with Mallett and our DB's, but I think Bama wins and covers.


    OOC Game of the Week: Georgia (-12) vs. Arizona State: UGA should take care of business here and cover.

    Bonus pick 1: ACC = Always Consistently Inconsistent: UNC (+2.5) at Georgia Tech: I like UNC to win here.

    Bonus pick 2: AIRRAID!: Texas Tech at Houston (no favorite): Tech will easily win this shootout.

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  2. West Div. Showdown: LSU (-12.5) at Miss. State: LSU wins and covers. Barely.


    East Div. Showdown: Florida (-21.5) at Kentucky: Florida wins and covers.


    Nerd Bowl: Vandy (-7) at Rice: Vandy covers. Easily.


    Cupcake of the week: Auburn (-33) vs. Ball State: Chizikins win big and cover.


    Uncle Verne's Game of the Week: Arkansas (+17.5) at Bama: Hairless Snufflupaguses win, but don't cover.


    OOC Game of the Week: Georgia (-12) vs. Arizona State: Jawja covers.

    Bonus pick 1: ACC = Always Consistently Inconsistent: UNC (+2.5) at Georgia Tech: Heels win in a sloppy game and the legend of their run defense builds.

    Bonus pick 2: AIRRAID!: Texas Tech at Houston (no favorite): I like the cougars. And I believe that Houston will win this game.

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  3. Is there even a need to make picks this week?
    The easy games:
    TN,LSU,FLA,UGA,AU and Vandy all win.

    TN, LSU and Vandy all beat the spread.

    Just for fun, I'm going to say KY gives FLA a good showing for 3 quarters.

    The only real game to pick - Hogs win over Bama.

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  4. Brocktoon's cousins visit the in-laws: Tennessee (-23.5) vs. Ohio: Big Freakin Orange win and cover

    West Div. Showdown: LSU (-12.5) at Miss. State: Tigers win and cover


    East Div. Showdown: Florida (-21.5) at Kentucky: Jorts win but don't cover


    Nerd Bowl: Vandy (-7) at Rice: Doors win and cover


    Cupcake of the week: Auburn (-33) vs. Ball State: war eagle


    Uncle Verne's Game of the Week: Arkansas (+17.5) at Bama: Bammeroids win but don't cover


    OOC Game of the Week: Georgia (-12) vs. Arizona State: UGA win and cover

    Bonus pick 1: ACC = Always Consistently Inconsistent: UNC (+2.5) at Georgia Tech: ramblin wreck

    Bonus pick 2: AIRRAID!: Texas Tech at Houston (no favorite): Red Raiders raid cougar town

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  5. Tennessee vs. Ohio: UT gets the win and covers.

    LSU vs. Miss. St.: LSU wins and covers.

    Florida vs. Kentucky: Florida wins and covers.

    Vandy vs. Rice: Rice gets the win.

    Auburn vs. Ball St.: Auburn wins but doesn't cover.

    Alabama vs. Arkansas: Bama wins and covers.

    Georgia vs. Arizona St.: Georgia wins but doesn't cover.

    UNC vs. Georgia Tech: Georgia Tech wins and covers.

    Texas Tech vs. Houston: Houston pulls through for the win.

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  6. Tennessee (-23.5) vs. Ohio: UT wins and covers.

    LSU (-12.5) at Miss. State: LSWho? wins and covers against the pathetic Dawgs from Starkghanistan.

    Florida (-21.5) at Kentucky: Gators win by 17.

    Vandy (-7) at Rice: Vandy wins and covers.

    Auburn (-33) vs. Ball State: The Plainsmen win and cover as they crack through the Top 25.

    Arkansas (+17.5) at Bama: Crimson Tide win by 13.

    Georgia (-12) vs. Arizona State: Georgia wins, but doesn't cover.

    UNC (+2.5) at Georgia Tech: UNC wins.

    Texas Tech at Houston (no favorite): Houston gets its second Big XII win of the season.

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  7. Alright, here we go, a new beginning on the picks:

    Tennessee (-23.5), mainly because I don't even know Ohio's mascot, much less play style or level of talent.

    Miss. St. (+12.5), since LSU has played like a bunch of corn dogs this year (Did I say played? I meant smelled--Sorry Dick).

    Kentucky (+21.5), since Florida burned me last week, and doesn't half of the Gators team have the flu?

    Vandy (-7), since Rice is more of a baseball team. Can you believe Vandy was favored two weeks in a row?

    Auburn (-33), although I'm afraid we may not play our first team very long, but then again, if they don't play them long, maybe that means we had a big lead already. My head hurts.

    Arkansas (+17.5), but a caveat: I'm not 0-3 on Bama picks against the spread this year. So YOU may want to bet money on Bama, but I'm going with the Hogs.

    Georgia (-12), since they look much better than they did earlier in the year. I mean, it was an even line last week, right, and they pulled out an 11 point win...in conference. Georgia covers, my friends.

    UNC (+2.5), only because I have to pick one. Both of these teams are terribly inconsistent.

    Houston (+0), since I like Houston as the complete package, weak conference team. I took TT to beat the spread last week, which they did, but I think Houston is playing better than Texas (I'm now open to having things thrown at me).

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  8. I meant I WAS 0-3 on Bama picks against the spread. Brainfart.

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  9. Tennessee (-23.5) vs. Ohio: Ohio. I think Tennessee plays this one close to the vest and pulls out a comfortable, but not-covering victory.

    West Div. Showdown: LSU (-12.5) at Miss. State: LSU will be strong. I would have taken them at higher than 12.5.


    East Div. Showdown: Flo-Rida will catch Kentucky Riding dirty. Florida to cover.


    Nerd Bowl: Vandy (-7) at Rice: Come on, Bobby Johnson, COVER. Vandy by greater than a touchdown.


    Cupcake of the week: Auburn (-33) vs. Ball State: You never, ever bet against Ball State. Even I don't bet against Ball State. Auburn by less than 33.


    Uncle Verne's Game of the Week: Arkansas (+17.5) at Bama: I know Bama is good, but Arkansas doesn't seem 18 points worse. Backs to lose closer than that.


    OOC Game of the Week: Georgia (-12) vs. Arizona State: Arizona state has more blonde girls who look exactly the same, but Georgia has more quality football players. UGA to cover.


    Bonus pick 1: ACC = Always Consistently inConsistent: UNC (+2.5) at Georgia Tech: I have learned two things so far this season making picks involving UNC. Both of those things are "don't bet on UNC." GT wins by at least 3.


    Bonus pick 2: AIRRAID!: Texas Tech at Houston
    I have to see Houston winning this one after their big victory last week.

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